More iPad 2, Kindle 3 threads

From the Kindle forum we get this excellent comment about the iPad 2’s impact on the Kindle 3 -

I just read two articles on the Internet confirming a rumor to most likely come true that Apple is going to launch two new iPADS geared to the e-Reader market.

I knew Apple had something up its sleeve to monopolize the E-reader production and what a more better time than Christmas!

If the prices should be in the $300-400 price range for the new models, Apple will certainly have an anaconda that will crush Kindle.

Perhaps it’s a bit of a stretch to call a 7″ screen device an Anaconda. However, the line is pure magic.

Susan U. has a response -

I can sleep better at night now. What a weight off my mind.

Love it. 

Our kindle forum original commenter also has a crazy conspiracy/spy theory -

It’s amusing how companies have spies because the prices for Kindle and Nook along with Sony have all of a sudden dropped because they must have caught drift of Apple’s new iPADS coming out.

So it seems there can only be two possible reasons for eReader price cuts – to compete against the iPad, to prepare for the iPad 2. Things like economies of scale or releasing new models at lower prices or lowering prices to clear stock just don’t apply.

Apple will certainly have an anaconda that will crush Kindle

Let’s find out a little more about Apple’s Anaconda -

  1. Some rumors mention 7″ screens and others mention 7″ and 5.6″ screens.
  2. Arriving before Christmas.
  3. Chimmei Innolux will supply 7-inch IPS LCDs.
  4. DigiTimes and Economic Daily Times (two sources of iPad 2 rumors) differ on some details. DigiTimes thinks the iPad 2 will have a OLED screen.  
  5. Compal Electronics will be assembling the iPad 2. 
  6. Cando would supply the touchscreen technology.
  7. There’s no mention of FoxConn which is not surprising.  

Details courtesy lots of sources including Fast Company. Fast Company thinks size and price are the big two factors and would probably add weight to that. If also thinks iPad 2 will debut at $300 and that’s probably quite likely.

How much of a threat is Apple’s Anaconda?

Well, it depends on whether it is a cheap $250 to $300 Anaconda or an expensive $350 Anaconda.

The Kindle WiFi is pretty safe. There’s no way the iPad 2 is going to be anywhere near $139. Kindle 3 sales will be affected a bit if iPad 2 is around $250 but not much if it’s $300 or more.

There are four main factors that make the iPad 2 better for reading than the iPad -

  1. Lower weight so you can actually hold it easily when reading and your hands don’t get tired. 
  2. Lower price so it’s more affordable. The whole ‘value for money’ angle becomes stronger when you can club ‘does more than just read’ with ‘$300 price’.  
  3. The more compact size means it’s easier to carry and hold.  
  4. It might have the new Retina Display and perhaps that reduces the readability gap between eInk Pearl and LCDs significantly.  

It’ll be quite funny to see the Press finally admit the iPad’s size and weight make it unsuitable for reading. Of course, its only the arrival of a smaller iPad 2 that makes the Press realize this.

iPad 2 is definitely more of a threat than iPad 1. The one area that’s a big concern is the ‘holiday gift’ area. If iPad 2 is $250 to $300 then a significant number of people thinking of gifting a Kindle 3 or Nook 2 might be tempted to gift an iPad 2 instead.

The Kindle 3 and Kindle WiFi and Nook 2 still have significant advantages -

  1. eInk Pearl is much better than LCD. 
  2. eInk is easy on the eyes and for most people LCD is not.
  3. Kindle 3 is readable in sunlight.
  4. Prices for eReaders have become really low.
  5. eReaders are built for reading with few distractions.

However, iPad 2 narrows the gap and forces eReaders to evolve faster.

It’s interesting that Apple are re-attacking the eReader market so soon

There’s lots of talk (mostly from DigiTimes) that the smaller iPad 2s are targeted at reading. It makes you wonder if Apple really does want to go after the eReader market.

If you saw a big emerging market and at the same time thought everyone in it was lost because they wanted to read on black and white screens and wanted to read books instead of throwing birds at pigs – Well, perhaps you might feel you ought to show them the true path. Perhaps Apple feels the iPad 2 will show people that reading without color and touch is a waste and that focusing on books isn’t really worthwhile.

The other possibility is that Apple, at some level, thinks it can steal off more and more readers by promising them more than just reading and take a bigger chunk of the eReader market. By it’s very nature the iPad steals generalists from various niches and Apple must feel that with a lower price and a smaller size it can get most casual readers to choose Apple over Amazon.

We’ll just have to wait and see what the iPad 2 is like and whether or not it affects the Kindle 3. It was a nice few weeks with no ‘Kindle is going to die’ articles – it might be 2011 before we see another stretch like it.

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